Top Weekly Themes Despite last week’s snowstorm, the sun usually shines on investors in December – According to analysis from Dorsey, Wright & Associates, over the past 62 years, the S&P 500 has generated positive returns during the month of December just under 75% of the time, the best hit rate for any single month. […]
In this week’s Monday Market Insights, we discuss the public distribution of a vaccine, hot tech IPOs, and the Federal Trade Commission’s (FTC) Facebook case. Our chart of the week highlights recent momentum in Small Cap and Value Stocks that we expect to continue. Finally, we discuss that excessive optimism could be a short-term concern, but elevated cash levels support equities long-term.
In this week’s Monday Market Insights, we discuss the evolution of fiscal stimulus negotiations, the continued depreciation of the U.S. dollar, and the lofty expectations for certain “stay-at-home” stocks. Our chart of the week highlights a decrease in real-time economic data that demonstrates the impact of rising COVID-19 cases. Finally, we explain why the persistently low interest rates environment may continue to push investors toward stocks.
In this week’s Monday Market Insights, we cover positive COVID-19 vaccine developments, the consumer spending slowdown, and the recent increase in weekly initial jobless claims data. In our Chart of the Week, we discuss the emergency Federal Reserve (Fed) lending facilities that are set to expire at year-end. Finally, we highlight the strength of the U.S. housing market.
Top Weekly Themes Not quite 98%, but pretty close: Earlier this year, when commenting about the effectiveness of a potential COVID-19 vaccine, Dr. Anthony Fauci said, “We don’t know if it’s going to be 50% or 60%. Hopefully, I’d like to see 75% or more, but the chances of it being 98% effective is not […]
In this week’s Monday Market Insights, we discuss the results of the 2020 Election, COVID-19 stimulus, and bond market action. In the Chart of the Week, we look at how the third quarter earnings season is progressing, and finally, we look at how well other economies are recovering.
In this week’s Monday Market Insights, we review the market’s reaction to Big Tech earnings and rising COVID-19 cases. We also look for some signals of stabilization amid the recent market volatility. In the Chart of the Week, we highlight how a weakening U.S dollar may benefit international stocks, and finally, we comment on the likelihood of small cap stock outperformance.
In this week’s Monday Market Insights, we highlight the recent strength of small cap stocks, delve into some recently released economic data, and provide some context about the disparity of returns between a small sample of mega cap stocks and the rest of the market. In our Chart of the Week, we juxtapose the recent rise in interest rates and the probability of a Democratic Party sweep in November. Finally, we at look how the COVID-19 pandemic has disproportionally impacted small businesses.
A Guide to Private Investments – Private Equity Spotlight:As astronaut Neil Armstrong once said, “Mystery creates wonder and wonder is the basis of people’s desire to understand.” Although we won’t be talking about space in this paper, we will discuss an asset class that remains a mystery to many investors. A better understanding of private investments, specifically private equity in this case, will broaden the opportunity set to those looking beyond traditional stocks and bonds.
In this week’s Monday Market Insights, we cover the release of the recent Federal Reserve FOMC minutes, the ongoing fiscal stimulus discussions, and the gradually improving initial jobless claims data. In our Chart of the Week, we discuss the U.S. service sector. Finally, we highlight the recent steepening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve.
In this week’s narrative, we discuss the recent pullback in the market and President Trump contracting COVID, the chaotic presidential debate, along with the huge increase in September consumer confidence levels. We also review the substantial increase in COVID-19 virus testing capacity that will be forthcoming throughout this month. Finally, we detail the reasoning behind our belief that the market highs are likely in for this year, and any further move in the S&P 500 will come from earnings growth as opposed higher valuations.
In this week’s Monday Market Insights, we review the state of U.S. economic indicators, declining prospects for additional coronavirus aid before the election, and California’s decision to curtail the use of gasoline-powered cars. Our charts of the week examine the record levels of U.S. household net worth and the factors that have driven growth year-to-date. Finally, we question if the investment community focuses too much on elections.