In this week’s video, we explore the robust dynamics of global growth in 2024, highlighting key economic indicators and opportunities for investors.
Key insights:
- The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecasts a 2.1% real GDP growth for the U.S. in Q1 2024, with consumer spending contributing approximately 1.3%.
- The U.S. economy’s strength acts as a global shield against recession, prompting gradual increases in 2024 GDP growth forecasts.
- The Citi Euro-Zone Economic Surprise Index reached its highest level in about a year, signaling stronger-than-expected economic performance in Europe.
- Positive economic trends are also emerging across Developed and Emerging Markets, yet growth forecasts for these regions remain conservatively unchanged.
- Despite modest initial projections, improving international economic data suggests the potential for upward revisions in global growth forecasts.
- The IMF adjusted its 2024 global growth prediction to 3.1% in January, mainly due to U.S. economic resilience, while expecting the Euro Area to grow by only 0.9%.
- International stocks have risen by approximately 3.5% year-to-date, with prospects for further gains supported by improved economic fundamentals and anticipated growth forecast adjustments.
More from TWO THE POINT
- Two the Point — Unveiling Opportunities Beyond the Magnificent SevenIn our weekly video series, we highlight one observation we think is most important regarding the economy and the financial markets. This week we revisit Q1 2024’s earnings outlook, highlighting the sustained momentum of major tech players.
- Two the Point — Juggling Growth – Economy Expands Amid Unyielding InflationIn our weekly video series, we highlight one observation we think is most important regarding the economy and the financial markets. This week we discuss resilient consumer spending and unexpected inflation dynamics.
- Two the Point — The U.S. Economy’s Strong Performance and Market PotentialIn our weekly video series, we highlight one observation we think is most important regarding the economy and the financial markets. This week we review the robust performance of the U.S. economy with a look at the labor markets.