Two the Point — A Silver Lining

In this week’s video, we delve into 2023 Q4 earnings and highlight the robust nature of the current market landscape, revealing a silver lining amid economic slowdown concerns.

Key Points:

  • Analysts have lowered Q1 EPS estimates by a modest 1.4%, less than the historical average reductions during the first month of a quarter.
  • The S&P 500 shows resilience with a 1.6% year-over-year earnings growth for Q4, indicating the second consecutive quarter of earnings growth.
  • Corporate sentiment is at near-record highs, suggesting favorable conditions for forward earnings.
  • The market presents attractive valuation opportunities beyond the “Mega 8”, especially in mid-and small-cap stocks.
  • Strong employment numbers support consumer spending, contributing to a stable economic backdrop.

 

More from TWO THE POINT

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    In our weekly video series, we highlight one observation we think is most important regarding the economy and the financial markets. This week we discuss factors contributing to a cautiously optimistic trajectory.
  • Two the Point — The Fed’s Pivot: A Step Toward Neutral
    In our weekly video series, we highlight one observation we think is most important regarding the economy and the financial markets. This week we discuss the Federal Reserve’s recent 50 basis point rate cut.
  • Two the Point — Cooling Jobs, Warming Cuts?
    In our weekly video series, we highlight one observation we think is most important regarding the economy and the financial markets. This week we discuss highlights from the August labor market report.
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